Nigeria’s future master

My organisation’s latest analysis is a return to what the company actually set out to do before Nigeria’s market realities made us expand to include socioeconomics, geopolitics.

The world is changing under our feet, and the realities of today will be very different from the realities by the end of the next decade. For one, the US, which many have looked up to for a very long time, will become more insular. China will try to step in and fill the void, but I personally, think that we are tied to Europe for a while to come, even though they do not really rate us.

The main change for Nigeria in all of this? I think we, or what is left of us, will come increasingly under French influence. China and India will remain too occupied in their neighbourhood, and while they will both project influence here, the geopolitical competition back home will limit what they can do. As said earlier, the Americans will lose interest. The Brits will be relegated to the background as they increasingly become an American vassal state if they survive the fallout from Brexit as a unit within the next two decades anyway.

Turkey will attempt to ramp up influence here, but its main challenge will remain Saudi Arabia as both of them, and Iran, compete for leadership in the Islamic world.

This leaves the field relatively free for France to expand its influence over the region, and given that we do not know how to play global realpolitik, we will quickly fall under the thumb of the French. Voulez-vous des conseils gratuits? Apprendre le Français.